Cross Lanes, West Virginia 7 Day Weather Forecast
Wx Forecast - Wx Discussion - Wx Aviation
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NWS Forecast for Cross Lanes WV
National Weather Service Forecast for:
Cross Lanes WV
Issued by: National Weather Service Charleston, WV |
Updated: 5:12 pm EDT Jul 15, 2025 |
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Tonight
 Slight Chance T-storms then Chance Showers and Patchy Fog
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Wednesday
 Chance T-storms
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Wednesday Night
 T-storms Likely then Showers Likely
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Thursday
 Scattered T-storms then T-storms Likely
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Thursday Night
 T-storms Likely then Showers Likely
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Friday
 Scattered T-storms then T-storms
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Friday Night
 T-storms then Scattered T-storms
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Saturday
 Scattered Showers then Showers Likely
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Saturday Night
 Showers Likely then Scattered T-storms
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Lo 71 °F |
Hi 92 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 91 °F |
Lo 72 °F |
Hi 84 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
Hi 85 °F |
Lo 70 °F |
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Tonight
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A slight chance of showers and thunderstorms, then a chance of showers after 1am. Patchy fog after 3am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 71. Calm wind. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Wednesday
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A 40 percent chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly after 2pm. Mostly sunny, with a high near 92. Heat index values as high as 100. Calm wind becoming southwest 5 to 7 mph in the morning. |
Wednesday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 5am, then isolated showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. South wind 3 to 5 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Thursday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms before 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 2pm and 5pm, then showers and thunderstorms likely after 5pm. Partly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 99. Southwest wind 6 to 9 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a tenth and quarter of an inch, except higher amounts possible in thunderstorms. |
Thursday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms likely before 8pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm between 8pm and 2am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 72. Southwest wind around 6 mph becoming calm in the evening. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Friday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 84. Chance of precipitation is 80%. New rainfall amounts between a quarter and half of an inch possible. |
Friday Night
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Showers and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am. Low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Saturday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 85. Chance of precipitation is 70%. |
Saturday Night
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Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 8pm, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8pm and 2am, then scattered showers after 2am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 60%. |
Sunday
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Scattered showers before 8am, then scattered showers and thunderstorms between 8am and 2pm, then showers and possibly a thunderstorm after 2pm. High near 86. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Sunday Night
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Showers and thunderstorms. Low around 70. Chance of precipitation is 80%. |
Monday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 86. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Monday Night
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 69. Chance of precipitation is 30%. |
Tuesday
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Scattered showers and thunderstorms. Partly sunny, with a high near 90. Chance of precipitation is 50%. |
Forecast from NOAA-NWS
for Cross Lanes WV.
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Weather Forecast Discussion
831
FXUS61 KRLX 152244
AFDRLX
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
National Weather Service Charleston WV
644 PM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025
.SYNOPSIS...
A tropically influenced airmass remains over the region with
periodic low amplitude frontal systems passing through. Locally
heavy showers and storms each afternoon are possible.
&&
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
As of 644 PM Tuesday...
No changes needed to the forecast. Seeing a complex of
stationary showers and thunderstorms across the northeastern
mountains. Will have to monitor for flash flooding across this
area due to these cells barely moving. Overall they are lacking
in longevity though due to nearly nonexistent shear.
As of 125 PM Tuesday...
Key Messages:
* Tropically influenced airmass remains anchored across the region
through the bulk of the forecast
* Locally heavy, diurnally enhanced rainfall - water issues may
accumulate over the next week
* Wet microbursts may produce locally damaging wind gusts, but
widespread severe weather is not expected in the next 7 days
A mid-level ridge anchored over the southeast and nearly stationary
boundary draped west to east across the forecast area are the
dominant synoptic features affecting the region through the near
term period. South of the front, precipitable water values are
around the 75th+ percentile for this time of the year today,
increasing to 90th+ percentile for Wednesday.
Although mid-level lapse rates remain rather paltry (~5.5C/km)
typical of a tropically influenced airmass, ample low level moisture
and surface heating should yield 1000-2000J/kg MLCAPE by peak
heating this afternoon. With deep-layer shear forecast to remain
weak, the convective mode will strongly favor pulse-type cells and
loosely organized multicell clusters. The probability of thunder in
any 1-hour period peaks between 20Z and 00Z at around 30-40% for
many locations in and near the higher terrain. Given the degree of
instability and moisture, any storm will be capable of producing
torrential rainfall with a few instances of gusty winds associated
with wet microbursts.
Convection will wane tonight with the loss of solar heating.
However, lingering outflow boundaries from any afternoon activity
could serve as a focus for isolated showers or a storm overnight, a
low-probability scenario reflected in the NBM`s overnight PoPs of 10-
20%.
For Wednesday, will see similar convective coverage (isolated to
scattered) early afternoon into mid-afternoon, with an approaching
mid-level wave from the west providing forcing for ascent for more
substantial coverage heading into the late afternoon and evening
hours. Models to depict a belt of stronger H500 flow associated with
this feature across the Middle Ohio Valley yielding an uptick in
deep layer shear to 35-40KTs. This should yield at least some
potential for rotating storms in this area through the late
afternoon and early evening. The primary threat with this activity
would damaging wind gusts and locally very heavy rainfall, although
the progressive nature of the storms should help to limit dwell time
over any given location. While low level veering of the wind profile
will be fairly limited, given the propensity for rotating storm and
fairly low LCL values couldn`t rule out some sort of mesoscale
oddity yielding a quick spin-up, but the probability is very low.
&&
.SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/...
As of 125 PM Tuesday...
Not much change in the pattern is expected in the extended forecast
with upper level ridging remaining over the southeast with high
zonal flow across the north featuring periodic weak frontal
boundaries that approach and stall over the region. This will
maintain a tropically influenced airmass with relatively weak flow
through the period. Central guidance continues to overdo afternoon
mixed dew points with values in the upper 70s, reality will be
closer to the lower 70s. This should keep heat indices below
advisory criteria with highs in the low 90s. The main concern will
continue to be locally heavy rain and with such a long period of
diurnal enhanced locally heavy rain, we will continue to accumulate
areas of overly moist soils more prone to flooding with additional
heavy rainfall. Depending on antecedent conditions, may eventually
need a flash flood watch for some areas.
&&
.LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/...
As of 125 PM Tuesday...
As mentioned in the short term discussion, largely more of the same
is expected heading into the weekend and into early next week with
low amplitude frontal boundaries interacting with a tropically
influenced air mass. Models are in fairly good agreement even
through the end of the forecast with the subtropical ridge not
expected to go anywhere in the foreseeable future.
&&
.AVIATION /00Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
As of 640 PM Tuesday...
Cluster of nearly stationary showers and thunderstorms across
the northeastern mountains with a few cells moving in from the
southwest. Sites such as BKW and EKN have the higher likelihood
of seeing convective activity this evening. Otherwise, VCTS and
TEMPO groups were added for sites of less chance.
Expecting some fog formation overnight, but not as dense as last
night due to expected cloud cover. Most sites will likely
remain MVFR with a few sites going IFR, particularly any sites
that see rainfall such as EKN. Any fog will dissipate by ~12-14z
Wednesday.
Winds will remain light and variable through the period.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: Medium.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Timing, locations and intensity of showers
and thunderstorms could vary from forecast. Fog formation could
also vary.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09
EDT 1HRLY 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03 04 05
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H M M L L L
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H M
BKW CONSISTENCY H M H H H H H H H M L L
EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H L L
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H M M
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H M L L
AFTER 00Z THURSDAY...
Brief periods of IFR conditions possible under showers and
thunderstorms, mainly during the afternoon and evening hours
through the week. IFR or worse fog is also possible overnight,
especially where any heavy rain falls during the day.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
$$
SYNOPSIS...JP
NEAR TERM...JP/LTC
SHORT TERM...JP
LONG TERM...JP
AVIATION...LTC
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